Derailments Haven't Stopped Railway Companies From Reaping Huge Profits

eastpalenstineafter
eastpalestinebefore
  Left: The site of the derailment in East Palestine, Ohio on Febuary 15, 2023/Maxar Technologies. Right: The site where the derailmenet would occur on July 9, 2022/Google Earth Pro.

On Feburary 3, 2023, a freight train owned by railway giant Norfolk Southern — one of America's seven Class I freight railroads, which are railroads that make nearly $1 billion or more a year — derailed in East Palenstine, a town of around 4,500 people on the Ohio-Pennsylvania border about 50 miles northwest of Pittsburgh. Fifty-three cars derailed, 11 of them carrying hazardous materials, causing a fire and the chemicals to be released into the air. One of them is vinyl chloride, a colorless, odorless chemical used to make plastic that's cancerous.

The dire aftermath of the crash drew widespread attention and criticism on the industry after it was found that the accident was preventable, if the train crew was alerted earlier that one of the wheels had overheated.

NORFOLK SOUTHERN

153 derailments annually between 2018 and 2022

yet stock price rose 35%

JAN

DEC

FEB

$300

$250

NOV

MAR

$200

$150

2023 Apr: $205

APR

OCT

2018 May: $152

MAY

SEP

JUN

AUG

JUL

Accidents are those recorded by the Federal Railroad Administration between 2017 and 2022

The stock price percentage change is the difference between April 1 2023 and May 1 2018’s prices

Source: Yahoo! Finance, Federal Railroad Administration

NORFOLK SOUTHERN

153 derailments annually between 2018 and 2022

yet stock price rose 35%

JAN

DEC

FEB

$300

$250

NOV

MAR

$200

$150

2023 Apr: $205

OCT

APR

2018 May: $152

MAY

SEP

JUN

AUG

JUL

Accidents are those recorded by the Federal Railroad Administration between 2017 and 2022

The stock price percentage change is the difference between April 1 2023 and May 1 2018’s prices

Source: Yahoo! Finance, Federal Railroad Administration

But derailments have been a common occurence among the railroads, with over 1,000 in 2022 alone, or about three a day. Though they pose a huge safety risk on workers and residents who live near rail lines, railways often go under-penalized for their negligence, and so shareholders continue to bet on them.

Not just Norfolk Southern

The average Class 1 railroad stock price rose nearly 50% over five years

despite major derailments and workers raising safety concerns

Norfolk Southern train derailment

and aftermath in East Palestine, OH

BNSF crude oil train derailment

and aftermath in Custer, WA

Price (USD)

350

Berkshire Hathaway

(BNSF parent company)

300

250

200

Norfolk Southern

Union Pacific

150

Canadian National Railway

100

Canadian Pacific Railway

50

CSX

2018-Apr

2018-Oct

2019-Apr

2019-Oct

2020-Apr

2020-Oct

2021-Apr

2021-Oct

2022-Apr

2022-Oct

2023-Apr

Source: Yahoo! Finance

*Kansas City Southern, the seventh Class 1 roadroad, merged with Canadian Pacific Railway in December 2021

250

50

Not just Norfolk Southern

The average Class 1 railroad stock price rose nearly 50% over five

years despite major derailments and workers raising safety concerns

Berkshire Hathaway

(BNSF parent company)

Price (USD)

350

300

Norfolk Southern

250

200

Union Pacific

150

Canadian National Railway

100

Canadian Pacific Railway

50

CSX

2018-Apr

2018-Oct

2019-Apr

2019-Oct

2020-Apr

2020-Oct

2021-Apr

2021-Oct

2022-Apr

2022-Oct

2023-Apr

Source: Yahoo! Finance

*Kansas City Southern, the seventh Class 1 roadroad, merged with Canadian Pacific Railway in December 2021

Under current laws, rail companies face a maximum fine of only $225,455 for each safety breach, when these companies make billions of dollars in profits a year. Transportation secretary Pete Buttigieg said he would call on Congress to raise the fine amount.

Railroads have also been allowed to increase the length of their trains, and cut workers. A 2019 report by the Government Accountability Office found that trains have gotten 25% longer since 2008, with average lengths of 1.2 to 1.4 miles.

Over the past seven years, these Class I companies have slashed their headcount by 29% collectively, or 45,000 employees, with the aim of "lowering their operating ratios and satisfying their shareholders," federal freight rail regulator Surface Transportation Board chairman Martin Oberman said last year. This has led to a “serious deteriorations in rail service.”

The chief culprit is “precision scheduled railroading,” a system that the rail companies used to run as few services as possible on as small a headcount as possible, which has led to train delays and safety issues.

Because the Class 1 railroads are an oligopoly — with four of the seven Class I's owning about 83% to 90% of the freight rail market — customers have no choice but to use them, even if there's a risk their goods will not arrive safely at their destination. Railroad company profits have gone up even though derailments are still happening. And rail workers have few choices in employers.

Derailments did not stop railroads from raking in billions of dollars

in profits

Small federal fines for derailments and an oligopolistic Class 1 railroad industry means railway companies continue to make billions every year even as they risk the safety of workers and people who live near railroads.

 

How much the six publicly traded Class 1 railroad companies made every year in total, compared to their total annual derailments:

2022

2021

Billions (USD)

In 2018, the same trains derailed 856 times,

or about 2.5 trains a day.

They made nearly $27 billion in profits.

2018

2019

2020

20

In 2018, Class 1 trains derailed 1,049 times,

or nearly three trains a day.

They made nearly $22 billion in profits.

10

Derailments

0

250

500

750

1000

Source: Company financial filings, Federal Railroad Administration

Derailments did not stop railroads from raking in

billions of dollars in profits

Small federal fines for derailments and an oligopolistic Class 1 railroad industry means railway companies continue to make billions every year even as they risk the safety of workers and people who live near railroads.

 

How much the six publicly traded Class 1 railroad companies made every year in total, compared to their total annual derailments:

2022

2021

Billions (USD)

In 2018, the same trains derailed 856 times,

or about 2.5 trains a day.

They made nearly $27 billion in profits.

2018

2019

2020

20

In 2018, Class 1 trains derailed 1,049 times,

or nearly three trains a day.

They made nearly $22 billion in profits.

10

Derailments

0

250

500

750

1000

Source: Company financial filings, Federal Railroad Administration

Rail workers previously told me that precision scheduled railroading has led to burnout since they're now expected to work longer and more shifts. If a train is delayed, for example, workers' shifts are also delayed. "It ends up coming into town eight hours late. By that time, I’m exhausted,” said Michael Paul Lindsey, an engineer with Union Pacific.

It is also difficult for current workers to run such long trains. Hugh Sawyer, a Norfolk Southern engineer who has been in the industry for 35 years, said that in the late 1980s, there would be five to six workers to a train — an engineer, a conductor, two helpers, a fireman, and a yard worker. Today, there is only the conductor and the engineer.

Methodology: I looked at data on rail accidents from the Federal Railroad Administration, and filtered it just for Class I railroads, and derailments that happened between 2018 and 2022. I also looked at the earnings reports filed by the railroad companies for their profits, and downloaded the monthly closing share price data from Yahoo! Finance.

I also took data on the miles each Class I railroad traveled between 2018 and 2022 to calculate the number of derailments per million miles traveled, since every railroad is of a different size.

I didn't end up using the information, but you can take a look at my analysis on my jupyter notebook scratchpad. I used Pandas to do my analysis, and R/Ggplot to make my charts. To make the radar-like chart, I used Rawgraphs' template and modified it. My next step will be to turn the radar chart into a scrollytelling bit.


Here is my repository.